Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 9.914628 11.030377 12.231733 13.623327 15.193272 16.912275 18.940679
2025-07-13 8.422530 10.004958 11.836775 14.122451 16.909751 20.213006 24.445991
2025-07-20 7.337289 9.211483 11.518781 14.588413 18.595370 23.689499 30.721787
2025-07-27 6.426916 8.458035 11.094034 14.801786 19.940128 26.894081 37.161636
2025-08-03 5.599003 7.671069 10.484822 14.638515 20.704975 29.383195 42.995195
2025-08-10 4.926572 6.991455 9.909244 14.405034 21.286855 31.637708 48.796757
2025-08-17 4.380194 6.413390 9.390192 14.157133 21.771687 33.762820 54.685750
2025-08-24 3.951860 5.952881 8.978960 13.999550 22.342198 36.055787 61.169442
2025-08-31 3.614691 5.589569 8.667019 13.944393 23.045149 38.625323 68.507557
2025-09-07 3.404602 5.400137 8.601796 14.272746 24.416551 42.497927 78.823889
2025-09-14 3.140899 5.094560 8.310846 14.173985 25.010549 45.042817 87.022676
2025-09-21 2.876148 4.760302 7.935380 13.877046 25.193041 46.825637 93.973190
2025-09-28 2.653381 4.482211 7.637846 13.703018 25.614978 49.189648 102.711134
2025-10-05 2.543907 4.391837 7.662098 14.130710 27.264662 54.257122 118.348980
2025-10-12 2.442511 4.305793 7.684491 14.556043 28.967633 59.702798 135.995214
2025-10-19 2.319048 4.167275 7.594626 14.746854 30.206508 64.340889 152.704405
2025-10-26 2.163140 3.953632 7.340615 14.572714 30.633649 67.223403 165.630853
2025-11-02 2.015193 3.742291 7.070999 14.334382 30.884183 69.731159 178.117936
2025-11-09 1.880056 3.544489 6.810011 14.084699 31.074027 72.120355 190.810169
2025-11-16 1.766462 3.380014 6.601529 13.926370 31.455952 75.043055 205.682097
2025-11-23 1.672487 3.247411 6.446751 13.870665 32.076746 78.673710 223.499301
2025-11-30 1.620439 3.196418 6.458396 14.196612 33.685813 85.173520 251.753198
2025-12-07 1.535570 3.069960 6.296943 14.098187 34.201503 88.787959 271.679061